Measuring and analyzing the impact of some macroeconomic variables on tourism development indicators in selected countries with special reference to Iraq

Message submitted to

The Council of the College of Administration and Economics – University of Karbala, which is part of the requirements for obtaining a master’s degree in economic sciences

by the student

Donia Mohy Fadel Al-Awadi

Supervised by

Prof. Dr.

 Safaa Abdul-Jabbar Al-Moussawi

Abstract: 

The study of the impact of some macroeconomic variables on tourism development indicators is of importance that did not take the required space in most of the presented and previous studies and research and will shed light on the development of a comprehensive study on the impact of some of these variables and indicators on the tourism development process as they are a catalyst and causative factor for the development of this activity and even in An introduction to this and among the priorities in this tourism development process, which is an integral part of the comprehensive economic development process, and through measuring and analyzing the impact of some of these variables on tourism development indicators, whether direct or indirect in the countries of the study model (Jordan, Egypt) in general and Iraq especially . And on the level that there is controversy about the role of these variables on the various social, environmental, cultural and economic indicators of tourism development, this research came to express a contemporary vision and seeks to study the possibility of advancing the tourism development process and what is characterized by this activity in this sector, which is one of the most important and fastest The economic sectors in terms of steady growth due to its many features and the many characteristics and peculiarities that make this sector unique and distinguish it from other industries and make it different from many human activities because it is the environmentally cleaner and safest industry, rather it is the industry of peace, cleanliness, love and motivator It is sufficient that it is an industry without smokestacks and serves millions of people, not only for the host country, but for the host country as well. It provides job opportunities through which millions of workers work, not only in the sector but also in other sectors because it is an industry connected to the majority of other industries. The importance of studying this research lies in measuring and analyzing the impact of some macroeconomic variables on tourism development indicators with their potential and their contribution to achieving comprehensive development, since the tourism development process constitutes an integral part of comprehensive development, embodied with the aim of research in diagnosing the most important indicators and forms of the tourism development process and enriching the subject of tourism development Besides and the nature of the impact of some macroeconomic variables on these indicators, their measurement and analysis from a theoretical and scientific point of view in the process of tourism development in the sample countries. In order to reach the results that we are researching and through the data and information requested by the research, it relied on the descriptive analytical method that adopted the standard approach in order to reach the measurement and analysis of the impact of some macroeconomic variables on the tourism development indicators used in the research. The ARDL model (autoregressiveness) was used. to slow down the distributor). In light of this, a set of conclusions was reached, the most prominent of which were: Tourism development is an important tool of economic development and shares with it as they aim for the optimal use of resources. There is a set of indicators used to measure the extent to which the planned standards are achieved in this process. The necessity of paying attention to tourism development in its direct and indirect forms, setting strategic plans based on realistic data and accurate statistics, adopting the indicators that were mentioned in the body of the thesis as scientific standards to monitor and know the conditions and effects of tourism development, and benefit from the experiences of others in achieving the goals of tourism development at high rates, and above all, providing stability Political, security, security and safety in order to create an atmosphere that attracts tourists and tourism investment and encourages the advancement of this process due to its important role in eliminating a large part of unemployment and contributing to the national income and balance of payments and developing a large part in many countries and spreading over the entire globe. It is considered one of the most reliable resources in the comprehensive development process