Abstract

      In this thesis, a scientific method was used to integrate statistical methods and statistical programs in the order and analysis of raw data to obtain criteria and weights that are used with GIS programs and spatial analysis in locating the health emergency centers proposed for the visit to Imam Hussein’ fortieth to the center of Karbala. The number of visitors to the centers, the health center near the Husseini procession, the flow of visitors entering the city center, the influx of visitors out of the city center and the number of Hussainian processions within the area of ​​each proposed health center.

Real data were collected from the relevant departments, in addition to the used of expert forms of criterias  as questionnaire , data entry and tabulation in Matlab and GIS. The Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) method and Topsis Method were used to analyze the factors and to determine the factors that were most influential. Based on the results of the analysis of the matrimonial matrices based on the weights Weighted resulting from the main vector of the decision matrix. The weighting methodology for each of these factors, and therefore based on the priorities for Criteria, was based on the decision matrix. It was found that the resulting probability weights for the criteria based on the marital comparisons are: (27.8) And the flow of visitors entering the city center (7.7) and the influx of visitors out of the city center (4.5) and the number of Hussainian processions within the area of ​​each proposed health center (45.7).

Upon the completion of the knowledge of the factors and the weights of these factors, ArcGIS 10.0 was used for the purpose of performing a spatial analysis and knowledge of the location of the proposed health centers in order to integrate the metadata translated into Matlab numbers and the location data in the Shape files.

It was concluded that the GIS program has great potential in the selection of optimal sites for the establishment of sites and health centers as well as the preparation of a strong geographical database, containing the natural and human variables affecting the health reality, in addition to the great ability to diagnose the faults according to statistical methods, The nearest and the standard distance and the construction of health databases designed to facilitate the exchange and analysis of information and other emergency centers have been proposed according to the importance of the method (AHP) as follows (of the most important and most important and important and less important) (3%, 14%, 16%, 10%) respectively of the total number of proposed emergency health centers, ie, 59% of the proposed emergency centers were excluded under this method. The proposed emergency centers were classified as important for Topsis (7%, 12%, 18% and 3%) of the total number of health emergency centers proposed. That is, 57% of the proposed emergency centers were excluded under this method. The AHP method is better than the Topsis method in identifying the proposed emergency centers, the most important because the AHP method was more accurate in identifying the centers of greatest importance.