Choosing the best model of life tables  in Karbala Governorate

A thesis

Submitted to the council of the college of Administration &Economics\ University of Karbala as partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Master degree in Statistics Sciences

By
 Nagham Taklif Salman  

Supervision
Asst.Prof.  Dr..Eanas Abdil Hafedh Mohammed

Abstract

Population science or demography is considered the science that is based on a scientific study of the various characteristics of the population. Demographic studies represent the initial method for understanding population society, and one of the first applications in the history of humanity, as it is used to determine the size of the population, which has been confirmed by many scientists and specialists in this science through various methods in  View and analyze results, Death registration is of great importance because through it, the demographic reality of the population can be analyzed, and one of its uses is to analyze the current demographic situation of the population, cover the needs of health authorities, and enable institutions to make decisions and take appropriate health measures.

The data that we are studying in this research were obtained from the Ministry of Planning / Central Statistical Organization, as we relied on the data of the estimates of the population censuses in Iraq for the years 2020 and 2023, in addition to the data of births and deaths registered in the Ministry of Health for the census years and the years before and after the two censuses. Since the population census has several methods of presentation and analysis, indirect methods were used to estimate fertility and death rates for the purpose of using them in building life tables, which are a measure of the continuity of the population and constitute an important basis in demography and health

The first step to reach the goal of the thesis included studying the population through its indicators and statistical data, as well as its characteristics and factors affecting its size. Then we explained these sources of data, as the goal of the thesis stipulates shedding light on the methods related to constructing life tables, relying in doing so on several methods for constructing them.  The most important thing we focused on was choosing the best method for constructing life tables, as life tables were constructed for Karbala Governorate after we estimated death rates for infants, children, and adults using indirect methods.